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Red0
525010.1
543011.0
617417.1
Blue62
647424.9
527414.6
787013.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380206080062

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6174
#30
17.13.8
11.47.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 7.8
6474
#39
24.91.9
18.420.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Second
5430
#36
11.03.8
11.98.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.7
End3.6
blue by 3.6
5274
#34
14.61.9
9.711.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Third
5250
#33
10.13.8
11.17.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End2.8
blue by 3.2
7870
#46
13.42.9
8.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsEarned