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Red49
647424.9
325015.2
665717.3
Blue74
691819.9
236717.2
549618.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534810203040607080904974

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#39
24.90.1
21.521.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End5.1
red by 5.0
19.91.9
16.418.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Second
6657
#15
17.30.1
15.014.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 0.8
5496
#14
18.01.9
14.816.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.8
End5.9
Third
3250
#51
15.20.1
13.313.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End4.9
blue by 2.1
2367
#32
17.23.1
14.717.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned