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Red48
385920.9
70117.9
594015.5
Blue29
325015.2
550727.2
366912.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555630404550604829

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#55
20.90.3
18.918.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End3.2
blue by 6.3
27.22.0
26.024.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.0
End8.2
Second
701
#13
17.90.3
16.315.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End2.7
red by 2.8
3250
#51
15.22.0
15.613.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End4.9
Third
5940
#37
15.50.3
17.016.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 3.0
3669
#24
12.42.0
11.79.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned