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Red45
548015.0
385920.9
145815.0
Blue50
359817.7
549618.0
318911.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514520304060704550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#55
20.90.2
19.719.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End3.2
red by 2.9
5496
#14
18.00.5
16.617.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.8
End5.9
Second
5480
#44
15.00.4
14.814.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.8
blue by 2.7
17.70.8
16.517.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End7.2
Third
1458
#25
15.00.4
14.213.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End3.0
red by 3.3
3189
#47
11.70.5
9.49.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsEarned