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Red43
78029.2
325015.2
490420.2
Blue54
766319.4
752914.5
208524.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456203040506070804354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#29
20.20.1
19.319.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 3.9
2085
#12
24.10.1
22.222.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End5.2
Second
3250
#51
15.20.1
12.512.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End4.9
blue by 4.2
19.40.1
18.318.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Third
7802
#52
9.20.1
10.310.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End2.7
blue by 5.3
7529
#19
14.50.1
12.412.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed