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Red64
19918.8
502710.7
469820.2
Blue47
630513.2
722914.6
587513.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5039203060706447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#20
20.21.1
19.520.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.7
End2.5
red by 5.6
7229
#57
14.61.1
12.813.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Second
199
#26
18.81.8
19.421.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.1
End5.4
red by 5.6
6305
#35
13.20.7
14.114.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Third
5027
#38
10.71.8
8.610.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 2.3
5875
#27
13.01.1
10.311.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed