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Red45
62388.0
236717.2
548015.0
Blue50
787013.4
413516.9
545822.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445010203040607080904550

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2367
#32
17.20.4
17.618.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End3.0
blue by 4.8
5458
#50
22.00.1
19.920.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End3.4
Second
5480
#44
15.00.4
14.414.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.8
blue by 1.9
4135
#11
16.90.1
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End4.5
Third
6238
#56
8.00.4
9.49.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 5.4
7870
#46
13.40.2
11.011.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed