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Red48
541920.8
688311.7
385920.9
Blue58
527414.6
587114.7
255127.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5259304070804858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3859
#55
20.90.3
19.519.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.8
End3.2
blue by 6.1
27.00.1
23.824.0
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Second
5419
#16
20.80.3
18.318.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End5.3
red by 6.1
5871
#18
14.70.2
18.518.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Third
6883
#42
11.70.5
11.310.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 2.9
5274
#34
14.60.1
13.513.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsMissed