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Red41
548015.0
70117.9
666212.1
Blue64
722914.6
464312.9
97337.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456420304050607080904164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#13
17.90.1
17.317.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End2.7
blue by 19.0
973
#3
37.00.2
34.234.4
Auto5.5
Teleop22.1
End9.4
Second
5480
#44
15.00.1
14.814.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End2.8
red by 0.4
7229
#57
14.60.3
13.914.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Third
6662
#28
12.10.1
10.210.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
blue by 0.8
4643
#10
12.90.3
12.713.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed