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Red68
635815.3
587513.0
132343.1
Blue35
388016.6
666212.1
787013.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801006835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.6
34.635.2
Auto4.0
Teleop28.6
End10.6
red by 26.5
3880
#23
16.60.9
16.315.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End3.2
Second
6358
#21
15.30.9
13.814.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End3.0
red by 2.0
7870
#46
13.44.6
13.48.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Third
5875
#27
13.00.9
11.912.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 0.9
6662
#28
12.10.9
7.86.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed