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Red55
464312.9
490420.2
70117.9
Blue40
236717.2
359817.7
502710.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5350304060705540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#29
20.20.3
19.920.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 2.5
17.70.7
17.817.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End7.2
Second
701
#13
17.90.3
17.217.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End2.7
red by 0.7
2367
#32
17.20.7
17.917.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Third
4643
#10
12.90.5
13.013.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 2.1
5027
#38
10.70.7
11.410.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed