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Red72
594015.5
766319.4
545822.0
Blue41
787013.4
69819.8
722914.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593920801007241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#50
22.00.3
21.321.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End3.4
red by 7.4
7229
#57
14.60.4
14.214.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Second
19.40.3
19.019.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End3.0
red by 6.0
7870
#46
13.40.4
12.913.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Third
5940
#37
15.50.3
15.115.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 5.7
6981
#54
9.80.3
9.59.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed