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Red52
107221.6
220416.6
688311.7
Blue60
66449.5
647424.9
413516.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051304060705260

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#49
21.60.3
20.120.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End1.5
blue by 3.4
6474
#39
24.90.8
23.224.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Second
2204
#40
16.60.4
16.216.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End3.6
blue by 0.3
4135
#11
16.90.8
16.517.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End4.5
Third
6883
#42
11.70.4
11.211.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 2.2
6644
#43
9.51.2
8.39.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed