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Red50
441520.0
294517.2
166113.0
Blue48
713711.8
11416.1
656016.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393930354045505048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.5
13.615.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.6
red by 3.8
6560
#16
16.21.2
11.312.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End6.5
Second
17.21.5
11.613.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End3.4
red by 1.1
114
#15
16.11.2
13.815.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End3.3
Third
1661
#27
13.01.5
11.513.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End3.4
red by 1.2
7137
#33
11.81.2
11.813.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsEarned