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Red24
64029.7
334116.3
547411.6
Blue41
166113.0
519912.8
814.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343102030405060702441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3341
#22
16.30.9
13.812.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 1.4
8
#8
14.90.0
15.415.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.0
End1.6
Second
5474
#17
11.60.9
9.58.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 1.4
1661
#27
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End3.4
Third
6402
#35
9.70.9
8.57.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 3.1
5199
#31
12.80.0
12.412.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed