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Red29
441520.0
713711.8
334116.3
Blue44
35923.9
325520.4
473814.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4150253035455560652944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.1
14.112.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.6
blue by 3.9
359
#2
23.91.0
17.316.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End6.9
Second
3341
#22
16.31.1
12.010.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 4.1
3255
#11
20.41.0
16.515.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.6
End7.8
Third
7137
#33
11.81.1
13.212.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 2.2
14.01.0
13.212.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed