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Red36
656016.2
302111.6
325615.8
Blue27
332813.0
713711.8
254314.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40401020305060703627

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#16
16.20.2
13.613.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End6.5
red by 1.4
2543
#24
14.81.1
14.113.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Second
3256
#10
15.80.2
12.712.5
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 2.8
3328
#21
13.01.1
10.89.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Third
3021
#26
11.60.2
11.511.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 0.2
7137
#33
11.81.1
12.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed