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Red47
364724.7
19216.0
742620.0
Blue41
166113.0
254314.8
513717.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40422530354550554741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.8
14.715.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End3.6
red by 7.1
5137
#12
17.60.4
13.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
7426
#23
20.017.6
28.510.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End3.4
red by 5.2
2543
#24
14.80.4
13.614.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Third
192
#14
16.00.8
15.316.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.5
red by 3.0
1661
#27
13.00.4
10.110.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed