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Red37
502516.7
254314.8
5858.5
Blue50
513717.6
115917.4
302111.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145203050603750

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5025
#18
16.70.1
16.616.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End4.0
blue by 0.9
5137
#12
17.60.7
16.116.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End4.0
Second
2543
#24
14.80.1
14.013.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End3.1
blue by 2.6
1159
#13
17.40.6
16.016.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Third
585
#34
8.50.1
8.18.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
blue by 3.1
3021
#26
11.60.7
10.411.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed