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Red75
210225.2
35923.9
298411.3
Blue68
441520.0
257625.5
39914.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64654050607080907568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End8.5
blue by 0.2
25.50.1
26.026.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.8
End3.8
Second
359
#2
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.8
End6.9
red by 3.9
20.00.1
20.520.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.6
Third
2984
#29
11.30.0
11.211.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End4.6
blue by 3.0
399
#20
14.20.2
14.815.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7