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Red27
666211.3
70112.9
752812.7
Blue49
11424.9
166217.4
281314.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3665020801001202749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#44
12.90.5
14.113.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.3
End3.6
blue by 12.0
114
#14
24.90.8
25.925.1
Auto3.3
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
7528
#20
12.70.5
10.49.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 4.7
1662
#26
17.40.8
20.119.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Third
6662
#36
11.30.5
10.19.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
blue by 2.7
2813
#38
14.00.8
15.414.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed26%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsMissed