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Red54
464310.5
167837.7
203513.2
Blue51
385925.1
281314.0
25320.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160505565705451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.3
34.334.0
Auto3.1
Teleop26.2
End8.4
red by 12.5
3859
#10
25.10.4
22.321.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Second
2035
#40
13.20.3
13.012.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
blue by 7.5
253
#25
20.70.4
20.319.8
Auto4.9
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
4643
#37
10.50.3
10.610.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.8
blue by 3.5
2813
#38
14.00.4
14.514.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
59%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed