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Red48
691818.6
203513.2
19921.0
Blue73
325717.6
208523.2
425514.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575540506070804873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#9
21.00.4
21.120.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.3
End7.4
blue by 2.3
2085
#31
23.21.4
21.923.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Second
6918
#30
18.60.4
19.819.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End4.2
red by 1.0
3257
#19
17.61.4
16.517.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End5.5
Third
2035
#40
13.20.4
12.712.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.5
End2.3
blue by 1.6
14.81.4
13.815.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned