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Red50
167115.4
680419.3
510416.5
Blue40
545815.1
208519.7
142213.3
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535102040801001201401605040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.0
18.918.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
blue by 0.4
19.70.2
19.819.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Second
5104
#32
16.50.0
16.216.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End5.2
red by 1.4
5458
#16
15.10.2
15.315.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
Third
1671
#17
15.40.0
15.115.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End5.1
red by 2.1
1422
#27
13.30.2
13.413.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.7