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Red78
107217.2
502626.2
413515.7
Blue59
166217.0
469815.3
138817.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61502030407080907859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
25.826.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End9.7
red by 9.2
1388
#10
17.00.3
16.316.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End5.6
Second
1072
#24
17.20.5
16.817.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 0.2
1662
#14
17.00.3
16.216.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End5.4
Third
4135
#20
15.70.5
15.315.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.1
red by 0.5
15.30.3
14.514.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.9