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Red46
330317.1
281316.6
397016.9
Blue45
213512.1
546114.5
76616.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472030406070804645

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#11
17.10.2
17.817.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 0.2
766
#33
16.90.0
17.317.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
3970
#37
16.90.2
17.617.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 2.4
14.50.0
14.914.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.7
Third
16.60.2
17.317.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.6
red by 4.6
2135
#46
12.10.0
12.512.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4