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Red41
58527.8
413515.7
70116.3
Blue40
397016.9
680419.3
213512.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4239203050604140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#22
16.30.5
15.715.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 3.0
19.30.0
11.211.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
Second
4135
#20
15.70.5
12.912.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.1
blue by 1.2
3970
#37
16.90.0
14.114.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Third
5852
#29
7.80.5
11.010.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End2.6
blue by 4.2
2135
#46
12.10.0
11.811.8
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed