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Red40
330317.1
688416.0
349512.7
Blue46
142213.3
285413.9
325716.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37342025304045504046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#11
17.10.5
13.914.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 0.9
3257
#15
16.21.6
12.313.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Second
6884
#23
16.00.5
10.310.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 2.1
2854
#38
13.91.6
9.110.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Third
3495
#41
12.70.5
11.211.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End3.3
blue by 0.5
1422
#27
13.31.6
10.612.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed