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Red54
213512.1
630511.9
330317.1
Blue38
513413.1
692610.8
572816.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3938202530354550555438

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#11
17.11.3
15.616.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
red by 1.0
5728
#42
16.10.2
14.314.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End3.5
Second
2135
#46
12.11.3
11.813.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 1.0
5134
#36
13.10.2
10.911.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
6305
#28
11.91.3
9.310.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End3.5
red by 1.1
6926
#49
10.80.2
10.811.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed