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Red45
546114.5
281316.6
680419.3
Blue31
325716.2
705712.0
52748.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060804531

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.7
13.414.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
red by 3.1
3257
#15
16.20.6
16.215.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Second
16.60.7
12.813.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.6
red by 4.6
7057
#35
12.00.6
11.210.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Third
14.50.7
12.213.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End5.7
red by 6.0
5274
#47
8.50.6
9.08.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsEarned