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Red42
128016.2
213512.1
285413.9
Blue45
167115.4
52748.5
248913.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41351020305060704245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#44
16.20.4
13.513.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.4
red by 0.8
1671
#17
15.41.3
12.814.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.3
End5.1
Second
2854
#38
13.90.4
12.813.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.4
red by 0.5
2489
#19
13.41.3
12.413.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
2135
#46
12.10.4
12.212.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4
red by 3.6
5274
#47
8.51.3
8.49.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsEarned