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Red34
76616.9
545815.1
142213.3
Blue30
138817.0
166217.0
213512.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145203050603430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#33
16.90.8
12.011.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 0.1
1388
#10
17.01.4
14.112.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End5.6
Second
5458
#16
15.10.8
14.513.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End2.2
blue by 1.8
1662
#14
17.01.4
14.112.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.4
End5.4
Third
1422
#27
13.30.8
12.011.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End3.7
red by 1.2
2135
#46
12.11.4
14.112.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned