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Red45
513413.1
285413.9
665713.3
Blue68
366911.7
680419.3
510416.5
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434830354045505560654568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#38
13.90.2
14.113.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 5.4
19.30.6
18.318.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
Second
6657
#31
13.30.1
13.513.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 3.2
5104
#32
16.50.6
15.616.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End5.2
Third
5134
#36
13.10.2
13.213.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 1.4
3669
#45
11.70.6
11.111.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed