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Red77
167833.4
680419.3
688416.0
Blue57
758915.8
107217.2
128016.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59442030405070807757

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.4
27.930.3
Auto4.5
Teleop20.7
End8.1
red by 16.2
1072
#24
17.20.6
16.016.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
19.32.4
15.117.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End4.7
red by 3.1
1280
#44
16.20.6
13.914.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Third
6884
#23
16.02.4
12.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 0.2
7589
#30
15.80.6
11.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed