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Red52
580219.3
412313.4
600013.7
Blue62
551012.5
690415.7
145215.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45391020305060705262

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#13
19.30.2
21.020.8
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.7
red by 3.6
6904
#41
15.70.9
11.612.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Second
6000
#19
13.70.3
10.610.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 1.2
1452
#20
15.00.9
14.615.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.0
Third
4123
#28
13.40.3
11.411.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 0.9
5510
#12
12.51.3
11.012.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed