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Red42
395216.4
457810.8
580219.3
Blue41
718510.4
496412.3
29423.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504620304060704241

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#13
19.30.6
20.820.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.7
blue by 3.8
294
#4
23.20.2
20.220.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Second
3952
#26
16.40.6
14.814.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End2.9
red by 4.2
4964
#18
12.30.3
10.710.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
4578
#16
10.81.0
12.111.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.5
red by 0.4
7185
#47
10.40.3
12.712.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsMissed