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Red25
58011.8
704213.7
65158.8
Blue52
695512.1
58910.7
151517.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2839010205060702552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#52
13.70.1
12.712.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.2
blue by 3.6
1515
#23
17.30.8
15.015.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.3
Second
580
#46
11.80.2
7.17.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 0.3
6955
#36
12.11.4
11.412.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Third
6515
#39
8.80.2
6.86.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 1.9
589
#43
10.71.4
10.011.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed