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Red37
84810.7
347616.3
56348.4
Blue49
566914.9
508922.8
551012.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365101020306070803749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#25
16.31.4
14.513.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End5.3
blue by 6.5
5089
#10
22.80.2
21.721.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Second
848
#17
10.71.4
8.57.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End2.7
blue by 4.1
5669
#37
14.90.2
14.013.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Third
5634
#32
8.41.4
11.510.1
Auto1.2
Teleop3.5
End3.7
blue by 4.1
5510
#12
12.50.3
12.812.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed