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Red63
65158.8
496412.3
690415.7
Blue50
441525.1
17597.5
476311.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324202060806350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6904
#41
15.70.4
13.013.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 9.5
25.10.7
20.120.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Second
4964
#18
12.30.6
10.611.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 1.1
4763
#22
11.20.7
11.111.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Third
6515
#39
8.80.6
6.67.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
red by 1.3
1759
#31
7.51.2
8.19.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned