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Red34
58910.7
395216.4
566914.9
Blue57
412313.4
419.6
237512.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42440102030506070803457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3952
#26
16.40.4
14.914.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.6
End2.9
blue by 3.2
4
#15
19.61.0
18.219.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Second
5669
#37
14.90.4
13.813.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
red by 1.4
4123
#28
13.41.7
11.613.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
589
#43
10.70.7
11.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 1.6
2375
#45
12.31.7
11.913.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned