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Red30
237512.3
600013.7
41419.7
Blue37
419.6
512419.8
476311.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38491020306070803037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6000
#19
13.70.7
11.310.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End3.3
blue by 6.1
5124
#14
19.81.0
14.913.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End4.3
Second
2375
#45
12.30.7
13.012.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 7.3
4
#15
19.60.6
17.917.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Third
4141
#42
9.70.7
11.811.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 1.5
4763
#22
11.20.8
13.612.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed