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Red59
86716.8
151517.3
36819.8
Blue46
690415.7
84810.7
271014.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060805946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#27
19.81.4
15.817.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 4.1
6904
#41
15.70.9
13.414.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Second
1515
#23
17.30.8
15.316.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.3
red by 3.1
2710
#40
14.20.9
12.012.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
867
#11
16.81.4
15.617.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.5
red by 6.1
848
#17
10.71.5
7.18.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed