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Red33
74559.2
249610.8
551012.5
Blue15
98012.7
695512.1
69388.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33360102040506070803315

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5510
#12
12.51.1
12.611.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 0.2
980
#35
12.72.1
10.98.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Second
2496
#50
10.80.7
10.69.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 1.3
6955
#36
12.12.1
12.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Third
7455
#24
9.21.1
7.96.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End3.6
red by 1.2
6938
#51
8.02.1
10.68.5
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed