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Red49
69388.0
33033.8
17597.5
Blue39
457810.8
151517.3
419.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544830406070804939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
33.80.2
32.432.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End6.7
red by 14.2
4
#15
19.60.4
19.218.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Second
6938
#51
8.00.3
8.58.2
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End3.8
blue by 9.2
1515
#23
17.30.4
16.115.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.3
Third
1759
#31
7.50.3
10.510.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 3.3
4578
#16
10.80.7
10.09.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned35%HAB Docking oddsEarned