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Red40
72308.5
476311.2
20727.3
Blue40
86716.8
580219.3
551210.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150304060704040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#7
27.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.5
End3.6
red by 8.0
5802
#13
19.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
4763
#22
11.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 5.7
867
#11
16.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.5
Third
7230
#30
8.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End3.7
blue by 2.1
5512
#21
10.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed