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Red6
58011.8
74559.2
690415.7
Blue28
347616.3
119711.0
72308.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404310203050607080628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6904
#41
15.72.9
14.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 0.6
3476
#25
16.31.4
17.315.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End5.3
Second
580
#46
11.83.9
13.49.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.2
red by 0.8
1197
#54
11.01.4
15.313.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Third
7455
#24
9.23.0
9.26.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End3.6
red by 0.7
7230
#30
8.51.1
8.37.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed