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Red23
19728.4
476311.2
58910.7
Blue55
508922.8
249610.8
718510.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3444010203040506070802355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4763
#22
11.20.6
12.411.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End2.8
blue by 11.6
5089
#10
22.80.7
23.323.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Second
589
#43
10.71.0
11.410.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 0.1
2496
#50
10.80.7
10.110.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Third
1972
#34
8.41.0
8.57.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.7
blue by 2.0
7185
#47
10.41.0
8.69.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed