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Red20
17597.5
145215.0
56348.4
Blue57
29423.2
86716.8
74559.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375102060802057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1452
#20
15.01.0
16.215.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.0
blue by 8.2
294
#4
23.20.6
22.823.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Second
5634
#32
8.41.4
9.88.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.5
End3.7
blue by 8.5
867
#11
16.80.9
16.817.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.5
Third
1759
#31
7.51.4
8.97.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 1.7
7455
#24
9.20.9
8.49.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsEarned