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Red33
40199.7
412313.4
695512.1
Blue44
271014.2
19728.4
519922.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39390102030506070803344

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#28
13.40.5
11.811.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 8.7
22.10.5
12.813.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.9
End6.6
Second
6955
#36
12.10.5
13.513.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 2.1
2710
#40
14.20.6
11.612.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
4019
#56
9.70.5
12.011.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End1.8
red by 1.4
1972
#34
8.40.8
12.213.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed