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Red42
69388.0
450118.2
58011.8
Blue44
690415.7
580219.3
78719.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701020306070804244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#29
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End4.7
blue by 1.1
5802
#13
19.30.0
20.019.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
580
#46
11.80.5
11.311.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.2
blue by 3.8
6904
#41
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Third
6938
#51
8.00.5
7.58.0
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End3.8
blue by 0.9
7871
#44
9.00.1
9.09.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed